From Foes to Friends? - The Zamarama Currency Traders and the Cedi
Squeeze! Release!
Ghana’s currency, the Cedi, has become a barometer of
wider economic unease. Each spell of depreciation reverberates through
households, boardrooms and cabinet meetings alike, underscoring the limits of
orthodox stabilisation measures. Monetary tightening, IMF bailouts and
foreign-exchange rationing have offered temporary relief but not lasting stability.
A deeper truth looms: much of the country’s foreign-currency liquidity is not
managed by banks or the central bank, but by an informal network of traders
known as the Zamarama.
You Want Dollar?
These traders are far from peripheral. They
dominate the parallel foreign-exchange market, providing liquidity across
Accra’s markets and extending their reach deep into West Africa. Their appeal
lies in speed, discretion and cross-border connections that often outmatch the
formal system. Ghana received $4.6bn in remittances in 2023, according to the
World Bank. Yet anecdotal evidence suggests that over a third—roughly
$1.5bn—was channelled through informal circuits run by the Zamarama. Their
activities, largely outside regulatory oversight, play a decisive role in
exchange-rate formation, undermining the Bank of Ghana’s attempts to steady the
cedi.
Integrate and Formalise
In periods of exchange-rate turbulence, conventional
remedies rarely suffice. A bold proposal has begun to take shape: to
bring the Zamarama into the fold—encouraging these traders to open Currency
Trading Accounts (CTAs) with licensed banks, pooling their foreign exchange
under prudential supervision. Profits would be shared, with two-thirds accruing
to the traders and one-third split between banks and the state. A time-limited
amnesty would allow holdings to be regularised before the enforcement of
know-your-customer and anti-money laundering rules. Such an arrangement could
redirect billions into the formal system, boosting reserves, improving
liquidity and generating non-tax revenues.
High Stakes
The potential scale is significant. Estimates
suggest the Zamarama handle between $1bn and $6bn annually. If just a quarter
of $3bn in flows were captured, $750m would be lodged with banks. At an 8%
return, that would generate $60m annually. Government’s share could be
$10–20m—equivalent to GHS 109–218m at current rates. More importantly, greater
liquidity could reduce the parallel-market premium, which often widens by 8–12%
in periods of shortage, fuelling speculation. An optimistic scenario—50%
capture of $6bn—would yield as much as $80m for government coffers and
strengthen reserves by $1–1.5bn.
Scenario |
FX Handled
(USD) |
Capture
Rate |
Formal
Pool (USD) |
ROI (%) |
Annual
Profits (USD) |
Government
Share (USD) |
Conservative |
1bn |
10% |
100m |
5% |
5m |
0.8–1.7m |
Central
case |
3bn |
25% |
750m |
8% |
60m |
10–20m |
Optimistic |
6bn |
50% |
3bn |
8% |
240m |
40–80m |
Visualising the Scenarios:
Learn From Existing Innovations
International experience shows this is plausible.
Nigeria’s Bureau de Change licensing brought billions of informal flows under
central bank oversight, albeit with periodic reversals. Morocco boosted
reserves by redirecting remittances to banks through competitive rates and less
bureaucracy. Kenya’s M-Pesa turned an informal workaround into the backbone of
its financial system. Ghana has also seen this logic at work: MTN’s
mobile-money system grew by mainstreaming informal cash transactions into a
regulated framework.
Cover All Bases
Yet the obstacles are formidable. The Zamarama’s
strength lies in anonymity, flexibility and cross-border reach—advantages
formalisation may dilute. Informal trades can yield margins of 15–20%, far
above bank returns. Deep distrust of state institutions persists, especially fears
of surveillance or retrospective taxation. Without competitive incentives,
credible legal guarantees and regional coordination with Nigeria, Côte d’Ivoire
and Togo, participation may prove elusive and liquidity may simply reroute
offshore.
Start Small
The government’s best bet is a phased, pragmatic
roll-out. A pilot—capped at $50–150m and involving one or two commercial
banks, could serve as a controlled experiment. During a six- to twelve-month
amnesty, traders would be able to regularise holdings without penalty, before
KYC and AML rules are gradually applied. CTAs should be structured to deliver
competitive returns, using diversified FX investments overseen by the Bank of
Ghana. Digital platforms such as MTN MoMo could be leveraged to reduce costs and
preserve the speed and accessibility that make the Zamarama indispensable.
Consider Radical Innovation
Indeed, CTAs could serve as more than a transitional
measure. Properly designed, they would function as a controlled
experiment in private-sector currency trading. If successful, the model could
evolve into a fully fledged system of regulated currency-trading markets,
supervised by the Bank of Ghana but operated by private actors. This would not
only formalise liquidity but also help Accra position itself as the financial
nerve centre of ECOWAS, deepening capital markets and anchoring regional
monetary cooperation.
Place All Bets!
At stake is more than monetary stability. For the government, even modest new revenues would offer fiscal breathing space without
raising taxes. For the Bank of Ghana, integration would provide oversight of a
hidden but critical market. For traders, legitimacy would offer both security
and scale. If executed well, the initiative could turn a source of instability
into a stabilising force.
Failure, however, would
confirm the resilience of informality in West African finance.
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